Daniel Kahneman

"The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a reliable guide to the truth of those beliefs."

"We are overconfident even when we acknowledge the full extent of our ignorance and the unpredictability of the world."

"Nothing in life is as important as you think it is, while you are thinking about it."

"Two systems drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical."

"The mind tends to attribute greater weight to negative possibilities than to positive ones."

"Overconfidence is a systematic bias that leads people to assess the probability of future events incorrectly."

"What you see is all there is."

"Anchoring effects are ubiquitous in negotiations and everyday life."

"People are not easilyled to transform their beliefs."

"The halo effect causes us to like people who are good at some things."

"System 1 operates automatically and quickly with little effort."

"We judge probability by the ease with which examples come to mind."

"Cognitive biases are predictable patterns in how people think."

"The illusion of understanding is a primary cause of overconfidence."

"Availability bias makes recent or memorable events seem more common than they are."

"A large part of what we call personality is determined by how we've learned to manage emotions."

"Happiness can be defined as a state of mind where one's aspirations are fulfilled."

"Our life is not determined by our experiences, but by our memories of them."

"The experiencing self lives in the moment; the remembering self keeps score."

"We suffer more when we think we will suffer than when we actually do."

"Money does not make people happy beyond a point of adequacy."

"Luck plays a larger role in life than we are willing to admit."

"The planning fallacy causes us to underestimate how long tasks will take."

"Regression to the mean is a pervasive statistical phenomenon we often misinterpret."

"We live our lives forward but understand them backward."

"The mind is susceptible to priming effects we don't consciously recognize."

"People tend to put too much weight on their own thoughts and not enough on others."

"We are more likely to remember things that are emotionally charged."

"The peak-end rule explains how we evaluate experiences."

"Sunk cost fallacy leads us to continue investing in failing projects."