Daniel Kahneman

"Availability bias makes recent events loom larger in our thoughts than their importance warrants."

"We see the world not as it is, but as we are."

"The tendency to overweigh low probabilities is the sister of overconfidence."

"Groups tend to amplify the initial inclinations of their members."

"Extreme predictions and a willingness to predict rare or large changes distinguish the best forecasters."

"The planning fallacy reflects the tendency to neglect distributional information about durations."

"We are very good at pattern recognition, but we are also very good at seeing patterns where none exist."

"Happiness is not the same as life satisfaction."

"A person is said to have intuition or insight when he arrives at a decision without conscious awareness of the process by which he reached it."

"When you are asked to assess the probability of an event, you actually assess something else and believe you have made the required judgment."

"The mind treats different types of information very differently."

"We are all confident idiots."

"The effort we expend in acting out our assigned role is so large that we become the part we are playing."

"Your emotional state is heavily influenced by the sequence of experiences."

"Bad outcomes are more memorable than good outcomes."

"Overconfidence is nourished by the illusory experience of understanding."

"The most effective way to describe the character of a large group is often to focus on its average member."

"We are more willing to accept a claim that challenges our beliefs when the source is credible."

"Skilled intuition exists, but so does skilled deception."

"The halo effect is the tendency for positive impressions of a person to influence opinion of that person's character."

"Representativeness heuristic is powerful and sometimes misleading."

"Children are more sensitive to temperature variations than to big surprises."

"We are storytelling creatures, and we are rapidly convinced by a good story over a barrage of facts."

"Consistency is harder to achieve than coherence."

"Nothing is ever as good or as bad as you think it is."

"The situation has more power over individual behavior than we usually recognize or acknowledge."

"Luck plays a far larger role in life than we admit."

"The curse of knowledge: once we know something, we find it hard to imagine what it was like not to know it."

"Narrative fallacy is the tendency to impose narrative coherence on a series of random events."

"We are uncomfortable with uncertainty and so we create false certainties."