Daniel Kahneman

"Optimistic bias leads us to think we are less likely to experience negative events than others."

"Our memory is not a recording device but a story we tell ourselves, constantly revised."

"Status quo bias makes us prefer things to remain as they are, even when change would benefit us."

"We feel the loss of something more intensely than the equivalent gain."

"The focusing illusion makes us overweight whatever we are thinking about at the moment."

"Priming effects show that exposure to information unconsciously influences our subsequent thoughts and behaviors."

"We are terrible at estimating probabilities in complex situations, relying instead on intuition and rules of thumb."

"The illusion of validity leads experts to be more confident than evidence warrants."

"Correlation does not imply causation, yet we constantly confuse the two in our everyday reasoning."

"Groupthink and conformity pressure can override good judgment, even in highly trained professionals."

"The backfire effect shows that people can become more entrenched in wrong beliefs when presented with contradictory evidence."

"We are remarkably poor at evaluating information that goes against our worldview."

"Temporal discounting makes us overvalue immediate rewards compared to future benefits."

"The fundamental attribution error makes us blame circumstances less than people deserve when they succeed or fail."

"We systematically underestimate uncertainty in the world and overestimate what we understand."

"Narrative fallacy drives us to construct coherent stories about the world even when the evidence is incomplete."

"Our judgments are shaped not by absolute values but by reference points and expectations."

"Commitment and consistency bias leads us to support positions simply because we have already committed to them."

"We overestimate how much others think about us and how much our appearance matters to them."

"The false consensus effect makes us think our beliefs and behaviors are more common than they actually are."

"We are poor judges of our own state of knowledge and competence."

"Mere exposure effect makes us prefer things simply because they are familiar."

"The planning fallacy strikes even when we know about the planning fallacy."

"Intuition is pattern recognition; it can be remarkably accurate but also misleading in unusual situations."

"We tend to seek causality in random events, constructing false narratives to explain them."

"Your sense of control over your life and circumstances is largely an illusion."

"The illusion of understanding makes us think we grasp how things work when we actually understand very little."

"We cannot change our minds about something we believe without a sense of loss."

"Our decision-making is heavily influenced by how options are presented, not their objective merit."

"Experts are often less reliable than simple statistical models, yet we trust them more."