Tversky, Amos

Psychologist-Philosopher Israeli 1937 – 1996

Developed heuristics and biases in judgment and decision.

373 quotes

"Hindsight bias makes us think we knew it all along."
Time
"Base rates are ignored by the untrained mind."
Knowledge
"Regression to the mean is invisible to us."
Science
"Emotions color our rational judgments."
Wisdom
"The planning fallacy ensures we are always behind."
Time
"We judge others by their character, ourselves by our circumstances."
Kindness
"Availability bias makes the memorable seem probable."
"The illusion of control is deeply comforting."
Life
"Overconfidence is the most common cognitive bias."
Truth
"We cannot think probabilistically without training."
Education
"Context is everything; data is nothing without it."
Wisdom
"Intuitive judgments are often wrong."
Truth
"We are predictably irrational."
Philosophy
"Groupthink is the enemy of good judgment."
Leadership
"We rationalize after the fact."
"The narrative fallacy is how we make sense of chaos."
Philosophy
"Small differences in outcomes can come from randomness."
Science
"Expertise requires feedback and reflection."
Education
"We are subject to our evolutionary biases."
Nature
"The what-you-see-is-all-there-is principle governs thinking."
"Numbers are interpreted through the lens of emotion."
Science
"We are more similar to our ancestors than we think."
History
"Judgment under uncertainty reveals our true selves."
Wisdom
"The impact bias leads us to overestimate emotional responses."
"We live in a world of heuristics and biases."
Knowledge
"Expertise is knowing where your knowledge ends."
Wisdom
"Decisions are made in the moment, regretted in reflection."
Time
"The mind prefers stories to statistics."
Literature
"Fast thinking is prone to error."
Science
"Slow thinking requires discipline we often lack."
Education