Tversky, Amos

"Our intuitions about randomness are fundamentally flawed."

"People tend to see what they expect to see."

"Probability is not intuitive to the human mind."

"We systematically underestimate uncertainty."

"The conjunction fallacy shows how our minds violate the laws of probability."

"Base rates are ignored in favor of vivid details."

"Emotions and cognition are inseparable in decision-making."

"Small differences in how a problem is stated produce large differences in choice."

"We are not rational beings; we are rationalizing beings."

"Happiness is not the absence of negative emotions but the presence of positive ones."

"Loss aversion is stronger than gain attraction."

"The endowment effect makes us overvalue what we already possess."

"We predict too much confidence and too little regret."

"Hindsight bias makes the past seem more predictable than it was."

"The false consensus effect leads us to think everyone thinks like us."

"Anchors are powerful even when we know they're arbitrary."

"Expertise can actually increase overconfidence in some domains."

"We are more pessimistic about others than ourselves."

"Time pressures distort our judgments in predictable ways."

"The primacy effect means first impressions are disproportionately influential."

"We underestimate how much our environment shapes our behavior."

"Risk tolerance depends on whether we frame choices as gains or losses."

"Intuition is automated expertise - sometimes right, often wrong."

"The recency effect makes recent information seem more important than it is."

"We judge probabilities by typicality rather than base rates."

"Rare events are both overestimated and underestimated depending on context."

"The planning fallacy makes us underestimate how long things take."

"Uncertainty generates more fear than known risks."

"We are more influenced by how others frame choices than by actual outcomes."

"The illusion of transparency makes us think others understand us better than they do."